⚡ Wednesday Showdown: Fed Cut Odds at 92%

Markets are braced for drama. With the Fed meeting this Wednesday, futures are pricing a 92% probability of a 25-basis-point cut and just 7% for a 50-point move—the rest is noise.

Why the conviction? Labour data is cracking and growth is fading, giving Powell cover to ease even as inflation stays sticky. Traders see this as the opening shot in a new easing cycle.

But the real trade isn’t about the cut itself—it’s the message.

• A hawkish one-and-done could spark a risk-off pullback.

• A dovish “more to come” might ignite another melt-up in equities and high-beta names.

QM Take: Our momentum models already show medium-term strength fading across key sectors. If the Fed delivers as expected, we’ll be watching for post-announcement reversals to set up tactical longs—or fade any over-reaction if Powell stays cautious.

👉 Stay nimble. We’ll push real-time Q-Score updates and trade setups the moment the decision hits.