📈 QM Trades Insight: Quantmatix’s Bank Call Lands Perfectly After Fed Cut Follow-Up to Our Dec 8 Outlook
U.S. bank stocks ripped higher following the Federal Reserve’s 0.25% rate cut — exactly the response Quantmatix’s models anticipated in our Monday, Dec. 8 report, “Don’t Miss the US Banks Rally.”
Within 48 hours, the setup unfolded:
Major bank ETFs surged 2.5–3.5% in a single session
Regional lenders led gains
Over 50 banks we flagged flipped decisively bullish
Our signals were early, accurate, and fully validated by the market’s reaction.
📊 U.S. Bank Stocks: Performance Since Dec. 5 Close
🟢 Park National Corp. (PRK): $156.80 → $164.13 (+4.7%) | T1 $165.06, Hit Rate 73%
🔴 Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR): $63.65 → $63.45 (-0.3%) | T1 $66.92, Hit Rate 82%
🟢 Stock Yards Bancorp (SYBT): $67.04 → $69.43 (+3.6%) | T1 $70.33, Hit Rate 78%
🟢 Ares Management (ARES): $165.46 → $178.00 (+7.6%) | T1 $172.33, Hit Rate 79%
🟢 NMI Holdings (NMIH): $37.57 → $39.29 (+4.6%) | T1 $39.45, Hit Rate 71%
Ares led gains amid strong investor appetite. Victory’s slight dip reflects minor profit-taking. Overall, these picks average +4%, confirming our bullish signals.
💹 ETF Signals & Performance
🏛️ SPDR S&P Capital Markets (KCE): $149.66 → $153.12 (+2.5%) | T1 $154.83, Hit Rate 73%
🏦 SPDR S&P Regional Banking (KRE): $64.67 → $67.05 (+3.5%) | T1 $66.82, Hit Rate 59%
🏛️ SPDR KBW Bank ETF (KBE): $60.46 → $62.36 (+3.1%) | T1 $63.25, Hit Rate 65%
Relative strength vs. S&P 500 continues to favor the sector, highlighting sustained upside.
🔮 Outlook
Quantmatix signals captured the setup ahead of the Fed cut, validating our predictive framework. Banks continue to benefit from:
💵 Lower borrowing costs boosting lending and margins
⚖️ Regulatory tailwinds and merger activity
📈 Solid consumer and AI-driven GDP growth
Overall, U.S. banks remain positioned for continued gains into year-end, with high-probability setups flagged for active management.
Disclaimer:
The trade ideas and commentary shared on this page are provided for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. All content reflects the opinions of the authors and is subject to change without notice. QM Trades does not provide personalized investment advice and is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing in financial markets involve risk, including the potential loss of capital.